Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.378045 0.439791 0.508018 0.588943 0.682258 0.786433 0.911513
2025-03-30 0.267011 0.347200 0.445559 0.574822 0.739976 0.943672 1.213753
2025-04-06 0.204640 0.288398 0.399156 0.555807 0.771108 1.056037 1.461138
2025-04-13 0.163757 0.246601 0.363127 0.538140 0.793401 1.151048 1.689003
2025-04-20 0.140356 0.223831 0.347661 0.543497 0.844022 1.286073 1.983580
2025-04-27 0.127843 0.214504 0.349255 0.572288 0.930183 1.479522 2.383318
2025-05-04 0.115192 0.202558 0.344422 0.589253 0.998525 1.651622 2.767810
2025-05-11 0.102696 0.188704 0.334145 0.595141 1.048360 1.798152 3.125577
2025-05-18 0.090814 0.173969 0.320079 0.592109 1.081704 1.919551 3.452625
2025-05-25 0.080061 0.159590 0.304526 0.583973 1.104276 2.023618 3.759014
2025-06-01 0.071459 0.147932 0.292214 0.579778 1.132639 2.139429 4.096418
2025-06-08 0.062285 0.133801 0.273377 0.560698 1.130592 2.199226 4.336250
2025-06-15 0.060352 0.134227 0.283047 0.598786 1.243519 2.485855 5.036608
2025-06-22 0.053018 0.122323 0.266689 0.582882 1.248588 2.568516 5.354489
2025-06-29 0.046381 0.110914 0.249794 0.563532 1.243958 2.630912 5.637581
2025-07-06 0.040760 0.100924 0.234559 0.545625 1.239858 2.693188 5.925733
2025-07-13 0.037614 0.096207 0.230242 0.551053 1.286320 2.864028 6.457594
2025-07-20 0.036433 0.096035 0.236144 0.580231 1.388416 3.162447 7.292403
2025-07-27 0.034523 0.093771 0.236876 0.597423 1.465105 3.413079 8.046966
2025-08-03 0.032102 0.089842 0.233119 0.603389 1.516221 3.611730 8.704188
2025-08-10 0.029425 0.084833 0.226056 0.600317 1.545254 3.762700 9.266158
2025-08-17 0.026759 0.079454 0.217369 0.592072 1.560650 3.883358 9.768737
2025-08-24 0.024554 0.075027 0.210570 0.587821 1.585447 4.028441 10.343633